Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 67.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 77.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Foligno
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
44.2% (52)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
33.3% (6)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
40.0% (15)
+7.1%
On power play, Foligno has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Foligno shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Foligno
Jarvis
Home
48.9% (178)
43.6% (39)
Away
50.6% (176)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Foligno
Jarvis
P1
40.4%
37.5%
P2
55.8%
48.3%
P3
51.2%
38.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%