Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Foligno wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 46.3% vs Stamkos 55.8% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 62.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 57.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 60.7%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Foligno
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Foligno
Stamkos
Last 10: Foligno 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
5
Foligno
Stamkos
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
6
Foligno
Stamkos
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (159)
56.5% (246)
-12.5%
Power Play
54.9% (51)
61.4% (101)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (51)
53.6% (69)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Foligno is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Foligno shoots left. Stamkos is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stamkos
Home
43.0% (142)
54.7% (170)
Away
47.1% (119)
58.9% (246)
By Period
Foligno
Stamkos
P1
47.8%
60.9%
P2
42.6%
59.2%
P3
46.2%
50.4%
OT
20.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
67.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 21, 2021 | OT | 00:24 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |