Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 72.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Foligno
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
56.1% (342)
-7.1%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
53.3% (92)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
62.5% (8)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Foligno shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stamkos
Home
48.9% (178)
53.4% (208)
Away
50.6% (176)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Foligno
Stamkos
P1
40.4%
55.6%
P2
55.8%
52.8%
P3
51.2%
59.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%