Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 52.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Foligno
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
49.3% (789)
+8.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.9% (181)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
54.1% (98)
-4.1%
On even strength, Foligno has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Foligno shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stamkos
Home
56.3% (16)
52.0% (512)
Away
56.5% (23)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Foligno
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
42.1%
P2
66.7%
56.4%
P3
54.5%
53.7%
Final 5 min
100.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%