Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 50.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 54.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Foligno
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Foligno
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Foligno
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
55.3% (628)
-3.3%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
55.1% (216)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.2% (87)
-40.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Foligno shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (41)
55.5% (499)
Away
61.3% (31)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Foligno
Stamkos
P1
55.6%
50.7%
P2
48.0%
53.8%
P3
65.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
81.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |