Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 61.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 58.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Foligno
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
55.9% (499)
-2.5%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
56.3% (126)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
58.3% (12)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stamkos
Home
57.3% (225)
55.3% (349)
Away
47.1% (210)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Foligno
Stamkos
P1
53.0%
57.0%
P2
51.8%
59.2%
P3
52.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |