Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Paul 53.4% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 84.3%
Defensive zone
Newhook 84.8%
Neutral zone
Newhook 89.1%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Newhook
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Newhook
Paul
Last 5: Newhook 0-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Newhook
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Newhook
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
53.8% (753)
-12.0%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
58.9% (90)
-23.0%
On power play, Paul has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Newhook is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Newhook shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Newhook
Paul
Home
42.4% (236)
54.2% (450)
Away
40.4% (267)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Newhook
Paul
P1
42.9%
58.2%
P2
38.5%
50.6%
P3
43.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
36.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Nick Paul |