Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 86.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 68.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Paul
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Paul
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
41.3% (492)
+11.8%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
56.3% (16)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
43.2% (81)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Paul shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Paul
Sundqvist
Home
56.0% (466)
43.3% (275)
Away
52.7% (512)
40.8% (314)
By Period
Paul
Sundqvist
P1
57.2%
43.3%
P2
54.9%
41.8%
P3
51.5%
40.1%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Nick Paul |