Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 94.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 82.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 92.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Paul
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Paul
Sundqvist
Last 10: Paul 8-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
0
Paul
Sundqvist
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
3
Paul
Sundqvist
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
3
2
Paul
Sundqvist
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
44.2% (2,842)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
51.0% (98)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
41.6% (385)
+5.1%
On even strength, Paul has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Paul shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Paul
Sundqvist
Home
52.7% (2,412)
44.2% (1,584)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
44.0% (1,741)
By Period
Paul
Sundqvist
P1
53.9%
42.8%
P2
51.0%
45.6%
P3
52.0%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Nick Paul |