Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 72.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 59.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Paul
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Paul
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Sundqvist
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Paul
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
45.0% (500)
+3.8%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
54.5% (22)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
46.0% (50)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Paul shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Paul
Sundqvist
Home
49.7% (348)
45.5% (255)
Away
50.2% (438)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Paul
Sundqvist
P1
51.0%
40.9%
P2
47.4%
46.9%
P3
51.5%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Nick Paul |