Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Krebs 40.7% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 78.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 51.0%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Paul
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Paul
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Paul
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Paul
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
33.3% (159)
+19.7%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
61.5% (13)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
0.0% (1)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Paul shoots left. Krebs is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Paul
Krebs
Home
52.5% (516)
37.0% (81)
Away
47.1% (329)
33.7% (92)
By Period
Paul
Krebs
P1
47.6%
39.0%
P2
48.4%
32.8%
P3
54.5%
33.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |