Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Krebs 46.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 78.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 64.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Paul
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Paul
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
47.2% (542)
+5.9%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
54.2% (24)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
31.3% (48)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Paul shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Paul
Krebs
Home
56.0% (466)
45.5% (312)
Away
52.7% (512)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Paul
Krebs
P1
57.2%
46.6%
P2
54.9%
42.7%
P3
51.5%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |