Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Krebs 49.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 64.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 59.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 63.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Paul
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Paul
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
1
Paul
Krebs
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
1
Paul
Krebs
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
3
Paul
Krebs
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
49.5% (560)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
52.6% (38)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
43.3% (67)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Paul
Krebs
Home
49.7% (348)
49.4% (314)
Away
50.2% (438)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Paul
Krebs
P1
51.0%
47.0%
P2
47.4%
50.5%
P3
51.5%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%