Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Krebs 45.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 91.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 82.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 86.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Paul
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Paul
Krebs
Last 6: Paul 5-1 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
45.5% (501)
+8.3%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
50.0% (20)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
37.1% (35)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Paul
Krebs
Home
54.2% (450)
43.9% (285)
Away
53.3% (471)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Paul
Krebs
P1
58.2%
45.4%
P2
50.6%
50.9%
P3
52.9%
39.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Nick Paul |