Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Greig 44.5% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 59.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 76.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 74.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Paul
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Paul
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
38.8% (103)
+15.0%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
60.0% (5)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
0.0% (1)
+47.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Greig is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Paul
Greig
Home
54.2% (450)
37.7% (53)
Away
53.3% (471)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Paul
Greig
P1
58.2%
41.7%
P2
50.6%
39.3%
P3
52.9%
37.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nick Paul |