Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Greig 50.6% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Paul 69.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 70.3%
Neutral zone
Greig 53.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Paul
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
51.5% (336)
+1.7%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
66.7% (24)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
43.2% (81)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Paul shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Paul
Greig
Home
54.6% (183)
50.2% (247)
Away
53.6% (233)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Paul
Greig
P1
56.3%
46.9%
P2
54.8%
58.8%
P3
52.4%
48.3%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%