Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Hartman 45.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 58.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 75.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 69.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Paul
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Paul
Hartman
Last 10: Paul 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
6
Paul
Hartman
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
1
Paul
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
5
3
Paul
Hartman
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
45.2% (4,235)
+7.3%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
47.4% (443)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
42.4% (262)
+4.3%
On power play, Paul has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Paul shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Paul
Hartman
Home
52.7% (2,412)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Paul
Hartman
P1
53.9%
46.0%
P2
51.0%
42.9%
P3
52.0%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |