Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Hartman 45.5% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 52.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 53.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Paul
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
44.8% (830)
+8.4%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
47.8% (92)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On power play, Paul has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Paul shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Paul
Hartman
Home
54.6% (183)
45.0% (515)
Away
53.6% (233)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Paul
Hartman
P1
56.3%
46.5%
P2
54.8%
39.9%
P3
52.4%
48.6%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%