Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Hartman 45.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 52.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 91.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 84.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Paul
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Paul
Hartman
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
2
Paul
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
5
1
Paul
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
44.8% (936)
+8.2%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
49.4% (154)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
33.3% (54)
+9.6%
On power play, Hartman has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Paul shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Paul
Hartman
Home
52.5% (516)
47.4% (568)
Away
47.1% (329)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Paul
Hartman
P1
47.6%
47.2%
P2
48.4%
43.4%
P3
54.5%
43.8%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Nick Paul |