Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Hartman 48.1% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Paul 51.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 51.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Paul
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
48.1% (520)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
44.7% (47)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
47.8% (23)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Paul shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Paul
Hartman
Home
49.7% (348)
48.3% (360)
Away
50.2% (438)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Paul
Hartman
P1
51.0%
48.5%
P2
47.4%
45.2%
P3
51.5%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%