Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Hartman 44.0% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 61.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 73.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 71.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Paul
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Paul
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Paul
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Paul
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
42.6% (495)
+11.2%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
38.5% (26)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
48.8% (43)
-1.4%
On power play, Paul has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Paul shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Paul
Hartman
Home
54.2% (450)
43.4% (288)
Away
53.3% (471)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Paul
Hartman
P1
58.2%
43.1%
P2
50.6%
43.4%
P3
52.9%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |