Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Aho 50.0% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Aho 58.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 67.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 56.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Paul
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
49.9% (851)
+3.3%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
53.5% (144)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
43.3% (60)
+6.7%
On power play, Paul has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Paul shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Paul
Aho
Home
54.6% (183)
53.2% (554)
Away
53.6% (233)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Paul
Aho
P1
56.3%
49.1%
P2
54.8%
50.8%
P3
52.4%
49.7%
OT
44.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
59.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%