Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Crosby 55.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 65.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 66.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 57.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Paul
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Paul
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
53.7% (984)
-0.5%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
64.7% (241)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
64.3% (14)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Paul shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Paul
Crosby
Home
54.6% (183)
56.9% (649)
Away
53.6% (233)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Paul
Crosby
P1
56.3%
55.8%
P2
54.8%
53.2%
P3
52.4%
58.7%
OT
44.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |