Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Paul wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Crosby 52.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 85.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 66.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Paul
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Paul
Crosby
Last 10: Paul 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
7
Paul
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
6
1
Paul
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
4
Paul
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
50.8% (1,169)
+2.2%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
60.2% (261)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
45.0% (20)
-2.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Paul shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Paul
Crosby
Home
52.5% (516)
53.2% (726)
Away
47.1% (329)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Paul
Crosby
P1
47.6%
51.3%
P2
48.4%
52.1%
P3
54.5%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |