Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Crosby 56.6% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 90.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 60.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 76.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Paul
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Paul
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Paul
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
56.2% (1,451)
-7.4%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
61.4% (293)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
55.3% (38)
+4.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Paul
Crosby
Home
49.7% (348)
59.1% (939)
Away
50.2% (438)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Paul
Crosby
P1
51.0%
54.9%
P2
47.4%
60.8%
P3
51.5%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |