Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 52.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 71.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Paul
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
56.1% (342)
-2.9%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
53.3% (92)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Paul shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Paul
Stamkos
Home
54.6% (183)
53.4% (208)
Away
53.6% (233)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Paul
Stamkos
P1
56.3%
55.6%
P2
54.8%
52.8%
P3
52.4%
59.1%
OT
44.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
59.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%