Nick Paul vs Steven Stamkos

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nick Paul holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Paul 52.2% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor Stamkos leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone Stamkos 72.0%
Defensive zone Paul 53.9%
Neutral zone Stamkos 53.8%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Paul Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 13 (16 meetings)
3
13
Paul Stamkos
Last 10: Paul 3-7 Stamkos

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
12
Paul Stamkos
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul Stamkos
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Paul
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
50.4% (9,799)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
55.1% (1,725)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
49.7% (825)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +3.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Paul shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Paul
Stamkos
Home
52.7% (2,412)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Paul
Stamkos
P1
53.9%
49.1%
P2
51.0%
52.7%
P3
52.0%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%
54.0%
52.2%
Stamkos
54.0%
55.0%
51.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 1, 2022 2 04:27 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Mar 1, 2022 1 15:56 Defensive Nick Paul
Mar 1, 2022 1 03:43 Neutral Nick Paul
Dec 16, 2021 3 16:10 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 16, 2021 3 10:04 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 16, 2021 2 14:10 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 11, 2021 2 08:03 Defensive Nick Paul
Nov 6, 2021 2 05:08 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Nov 6, 2021 1 03:23 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Nov 6, 2021 1 03:12 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Nov 6, 2021 1 00:52 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Jan 4, 2020 3 14:51 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Jan 4, 2020 3 09:15 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 17, 2019 3 16:07 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 17, 2019 3 00:24 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 17, 2019 2 13:30 Offensive Steven Stamkos