Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Paul 52.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 64.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Paul
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
55.9% (499)
-2.8%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
56.3% (126)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
58.3% (12)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Paul shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Paul
Stamkos
Home
56.0% (466)
55.3% (349)
Away
52.7% (512)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Paul
Stamkos
P1
57.2%
57.0%
P2
54.9%
59.2%
P3
51.5%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%