Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Thompson 41.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 56.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 86.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 85.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Paul
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Paul
Thompson
Last 10: Paul 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
5
Paul
Thompson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
1
Paul
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
5
1
Paul
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
40.6% (801)
+12.4%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
44.7% (103)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
31.0% (71)
+11.9%
On even strength, Paul has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Paul shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Paul
Thompson
Home
52.5% (516)
43.2% (507)
Away
47.1% (329)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Paul
Thompson
P1
47.6%
37.7%
P2
48.4%
43.4%
P3
54.5%
39.5%
OT
100.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Nick Paul |