Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Zegras 41.3% (+13.4%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 54.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 64.7%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Paul
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
36.5% (156)
+12.3%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
40.7% (27)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
0.0% (3)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Paul
Zegras
Home
49.7% (348)
38.9% (113)
Away
50.2% (438)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Paul
Zegras
P1
51.0%
40.0%
P2
47.4%
38.1%
P3
51.5%
31.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%