Auston Matthews vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 88.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 98.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 97.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 96.0%
96.0%
4.0%
Matthews
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
8
(26 meetings)
18
8
Matthews
Schmaltz
Last 10: Matthews 8-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
1
Matthews
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
9
4
Matthews
Schmaltz
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
3
Matthews
Schmaltz
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
41.2% (3,399)
+12.8%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
47.1% (649)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
47.8% (134)
+2.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Matthews
Schmaltz
Home
56.3% (5,065)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Matthews
Schmaltz
P1
55.5%
41.1%
P2
53.3%
42.9%
P3
52.8%
43.0%
OT
56.6%
42.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |