Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 37.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.9% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 58.7%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Last 5: Barbashev 2-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Barbashev
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
0
Barbashev
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (153)
39.5% (658)
+0.4%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
41.3% (92)
-41.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
45.1% (51)
-45.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barbashev is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Barbashev shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Home
32.8% (64)
40.8% (424)
Away
42.1% (95)
39.3% (377)
By Period
Barbashev
Schmaltz
P1
47.8%
38.4%
P2
36.4%
40.7%
P3
32.8%
41.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |