Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 25-9 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 79.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 99.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 96.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Pageau
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
9
(34 meetings)
25
9
Pageau
Schmaltz
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
4
Pageau
Schmaltz
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
2
Pageau
Schmaltz
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
9
3
Pageau
Schmaltz
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
41.2% (3,399)
+14.5%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
47.1% (649)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
47.8% (134)
+1.8%
On even strength, Pageau has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Home / Away
Pageau
Schmaltz
Home
56.3% (6,214)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Pageau
Schmaltz
P1
54.6%
41.1%
P2
56.3%
42.9%
P3
53.5%
43.0%
OT
54.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
53.9%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |