Nick Schmaltz vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 71.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 54.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
6
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
44.9% (8,756)
-3.7%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
50.7% (839)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
37.9% (879)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Schmaltz shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
42.7% (2,089)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
41.1%
45.1%
P2
42.9%
43.9%
P3
43.0%
45.3%
OT
42.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
42.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 12, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |