Nick Schmaltz vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 81.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
51.0% (408)
-12.5%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
0.0% (6)
+53.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
35.9% (78)
-10.9%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
38.0% (184)
50.8% (258)
Away
43.5% (216)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
40.3%
51.6%
P2
39.9%
45.2%
P3
40.7%
47.6%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |