Nick Schmaltz vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 69.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
47.6% (231)
-1.7%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
83.3% (12)
-36.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
33.3% (21)
+16.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Schmaltz shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.7% (409)
51.2% (164)
Away
47.6% (391)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
40.3%
50.0%
P2
47.6%
46.2%
P3
51.0%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%