Nick Schmaltz vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 73.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 75.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
50.3% (479)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
50.0% (28)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
30.0% (50)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.0% (206)
48.9% (270)
Away
49.4% (170)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.6%
48.7%
P2
46.2%
50.0%
P3
50.4%
47.3%
OT
16.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
39.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
49.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |