Nick Schmaltz vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 65.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 88.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
45.4% (527)
-7.7%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
41.2% (17)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
44.9% (138)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
34.7% (49)
46.1% (336)
Away
45.1% (51)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Schmaltz
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
25.9%
49.1%
P2
46.2%
45.3%
P3
42.1%
42.0%
OT
46.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
34.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |