Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 48.4% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 83.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 60.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (133)
56.6% (1,064)
-13.7%
Power Play
55.1% (89)
60.4% (260)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
54.0% (261)
-6.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Schmaltz shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
Home
41.6% (125)
54.9% (801)
Away
54.4% (114)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
P1
40.0%
58.0%
P2
59.5%
56.7%
P3
45.0%
55.4%
OT
40.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |