Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-15.8%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 85.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
56.1% (690)
-18.4%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
64.6% (96)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
45.9% (109)
+20.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
Home
34.7% (49)
58.3% (408)
Away
45.1% (51)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Schmaltz
O'Reilly
P1
25.9%
57.7%
P2
46.2%
54.8%
P3
42.1%
55.2%
OT
46.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
34.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%