Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schmaltz wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 44.0% vs Steel 52.3% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 73.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 74.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 73.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Schmaltz
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Schmaltz
Steel
Last 10: Schmaltz 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Schmaltz
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
4
Schmaltz
Steel
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schmaltz
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (485)
51.6% (401)
-9.1%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
66.7% (39)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (9)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Schmaltz shoots right. Steel is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Steel
Home
45.0% (258)
55.8% (206)
Away
40.9% (279)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Schmaltz
Steel
P1
47.0%
57.0%
P2
42.7%
50.7%
P3
38.4%
51.0%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |