Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Steel 46.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 71.4%
Defensive zone
Steel 67.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Schmaltz
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schmaltz
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Schmaltz
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
44.6% (177)
-6.1%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
66.7% (3)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
44.8% (29)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Steel
Home
38.0% (184)
46.7% (90)
Away
43.5% (216)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Schmaltz
Steel
P1
40.3%
47.8%
P2
39.9%
47.0%
P3
40.7%
41.3%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Sam Steel |