Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Steel 48.8% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 66.8%
Defensive zone
Steel 63.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Schmaltz
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schmaltz
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Schmaltz
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
49.5% (553)
-11.8%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
61.3% (31)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
30.6% (49)
+36.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Steel
Home
34.7% (49)
46.4% (347)
Away
45.1% (51)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Schmaltz
Steel
P1
25.9%
52.1%
P2
46.2%
49.8%
P3
42.1%
45.2%
OT
46.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Sam Steel |