Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Steel 52.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 56.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 88.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 74.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Schmaltz
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Schmaltz
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
56.9% (320)
-8.8%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
71.4% (7)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
37.0% (73)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Steel
Home
49.0% (206)
55.9% (202)
Away
49.4% (170)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Schmaltz
Steel
P1
53.6%
55.5%
P2
46.2%
55.1%
P3
50.4%
50.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |