Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 48.4% vs Aho 52.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 57.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 54.0%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Schmaltz
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schmaltz
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Schmaltz
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (133)
51.6% (819)
-8.7%
Power Play
55.1% (89)
58.4% (173)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
46.3% (67)
+0.8%
On even strength, Aho has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Schmaltz shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Aho
Home
41.6% (125)
53.9% (568)
Away
54.4% (114)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Schmaltz
Aho
P1
40.0%
55.4%
P2
59.5%
51.2%
P3
45.0%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |