Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 56.5%
Defensive zone
Aho 61.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 57.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Schmaltz
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schmaltz
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Schmaltz
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
48.5% (778)
-10.8%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
63.4% (191)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
50.8% (65)
+15.9%
On power play, Aho has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Aho
Home
34.7% (49)
51.3% (530)
Away
45.1% (51)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Schmaltz
Aho
P1
25.9%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
51.3%
P3
42.1%
52.1%
OT
46.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
34.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |