Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.6% vs Suzuki 46.8% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 77.0%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 94.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 93.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Hughes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hughes
Suzuki
Last 6: Hughes 5-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
0
Hughes
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Hughes
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (362)
46.6% (582)
-11.0%
Power Play
38.5% (91)
45.0% (60)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
41.2% (17)
-7.9%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hughes is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Hughes shoots left. Suzuki is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Hughes
Suzuki
Home
37.6% (255)
46.0% (350)
Away
34.3% (207)
46.6% (309)
By Period
Hughes
Suzuki
P1
28.5%
47.6%
P2
39.2%
45.7%
P3
40.8%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
39.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 28, 2019 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |