Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 86.4%
Defensive zone
Hughes 83.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 88.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Hughes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hughes
Suzuki
Last 7: Hughes 1-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Hughes
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Hughes
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
51.3% (1,096)
-15.7%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
59.9% (157)
-9.9%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Hughes
Suzuki
Home
38.4% (198)
54.2% (638)
Away
35.3% (119)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Hughes
Suzuki
P1
44.3%
51.5%
P2
34.2%
53.3%
P3
34.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
40.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |