Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 20-5 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 61.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 92.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 83.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Staal
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
5
(25 meetings)
20
5
Staal
Suzuki
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
11
2
Staal
Suzuki
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Suzuki
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
47.0% (1,066)
+9.3%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
49.5% (204)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
46.6% (131)
+5.5%
On power play, Staal has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Staal
Suzuki
Home
58.3% (705)
49.4% (686)
Away
53.3% (769)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Staal
Suzuki
P1
54.5%
45.6%
P2
58.2%
46.9%
P3
54.1%
49.8%
OT
60.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2023 | OT | 03:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2023 | OT | 01:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |