Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.9%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 75.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 59.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Duchene
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Duchene
Suzuki
Last 5: Duchene 4-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
0
Duchene
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Duchene
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
50.3% (1,075)
-3.4%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
49.3% (219)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.1% (116)
+56.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Duchene
Suzuki
Home
58.4% (125)
53.6% (711)
Away
48.4% (95)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Duchene
Suzuki
P1
56.9%
48.5%
P2
52.5%
51.7%
P3
51.9%
49.0%
OT
80.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |